Recent blog entries CONMEBOL Libertadores Betting Tips: Quarter Finals 2nd Leg | Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday We are top of the xG table. The expected goals scored and expected goals conceded figures have been compared to the actual goals for and goals against, to generate a percentage difference. Overperforming team that's shot down the table- Bournemouth. Drew 1 - 1 against Birmingham City on March 4th 2023. Only team not to lose. WebAll the xg League Tables and xG statistics are on the site and ready to be used 2. Championship xg table. Lost 2 - 3 against Millwall on February 18th 2023. Lost 2 - 3 against Norwich City on March 4th 2023. A new team breaking the yoyo group would be good for the game. Won 2 - 0 against Bristol City on March 4th 2023. Every single part of this Boro team is performing at a high standard, apart, perhaps, from Zack Steffen in goal. WebIn order to use the live chat functionality you need to opt into live chat cookies. 68. WebIronically, the two games we've drawn 0-0 have both been clear wins on xG, which suggests we can create more chances when we need to. Sitting back a lot will result in a low expected points I guess. It's a complex formulae and is often misunderstood. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Drew 1 - 1 against Millwall on February 21st 2023. The season usually runs from August to May, with each club playing each other twice, once at their home stadium and once at that of their opponents, so a total of 46 matches for each team. Just been looking at each club's top scorers. Lost 1 - 3 against Rotherham United on March 4th 2023. Championship Scores & Fixtures Table Top Scorers Championship Table Please note: All times UK. We know that on their day the likes of Ilias Chair, Chris Willock, Andre Dozzell, Stefan Johansen, and others have the ability to penetrate Championship defences but there is a malaise around the team that simply has to be shaken off somehow. Note that player records are likely not complete for their careers. Won 1 - 0 against Swansea City on February 18th 2023. Each team is assigned to a specific segment, depending on the team's number of points. are hardly second-rate options from the bench. Most Assists: Daniel Barlaser (Rotherham United) - 8. Blackburn still sit bottom of the Championship xG table and there are no signs that Jon Dahl Tomasson is able to change the way that Rovers play in order to create more chances. There are times when they are playing well and are well in matches, but something goes wrong either offensively or defensively and confidence takes another hit. However, xG and xGA does not always necessarily tell the full story and punters cannot afford to exclusively rely on this in order to extrapolate value from Premier League and EFL betting markets. We hear you - Progressive carries are back! Expected Goals (xG) league tables for major leagues including England, Spain, France, Germany, Italy, Brazil, Argentina, USA and many more. Level: 2nd Tier ( See League Structure) Gender: Male. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. As one of the most successful football clubs in world history with an estimated 700 million supporters globally, Manchester United Football Club is often expected to be competing for silverware every SQaF.club is a participant in the Amazon EU Associates Programme, an affiliate advertising programme designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to amazon.co.uk. var divElement = document.getElementById('viz1641145027735'); var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName('object')[0]; if ( divElement.offsetWidth > 800 ) { vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*0.75)+'px';} else if ( divElement.offsetWidth > 500 ) { vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*0.75)+'px';} else { vizElement.style.width='100%';vizElement.style.height=(divElement.offsetWidth*1.77)+'px';} var scriptElement = document.createElement('script'); scriptElement.src = 'https://public.tableau.com/javascripts/api/viz_v1.js'; vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement); *Caveats: Footballxg are not accountable for any errors in the data. We've dropped right down the xg table. Register your email below to keep updated on new features. I know many are very sceptical about xg ratings and I must say, after watching all forty six of our games this season, I'm struggling to see how we can be as high as we are in this table. You've had a lot of games under control. Won 1 - 0 against Luton Town on February 18th 2023. Value based predictions based on historical and forward looking analysis. Having not drawn a match for a record 28 consecutive games, Rovers have become draw specialists. For more information, see our Launch Blog Post, the overall leagues/competition page with details on leagues and seasons we include, or our About Page. Mindset and other trading advice to help make better trades. Better decisions results in bigger profits. Nov 27, 2022 Expected Goals for Japan v Costa Rica Japan (0.85) 0 - 1 (0.15) Costa Rica Likelihood of result based on xG scoreline: Japan win: 53% Draw: 30% Costa Rica win: 17% #FIFAWorldCup | #JPNCRC 5 Won 3 - 0 against Huddersfield Town on February 15th 2023. Or write about sports? Still dont know what it means. Governing Country: England eng. Won 2 - 0 against Rotherham United on February 18th 2023. WebThe current and complete UEFA Champions League table & standings for the 2022/2023 season, updated instantly after every game. Tables updated twice weekly (Mondays and Fridays). 50+ different leagues and competitions included. WebChampionship scores, results and fixtures on BBC Sport, including live football scores, goals and goal scorers. Each team is assigned to a specific segment, depending on the team's number of points. Expected goal statistics from the previous 10 games. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. WebOfficial Championship Website Championship Table (England) - 2022/23 Regular Season Promotion Promotion Play-off Relegation Championship Table Analysis The point gap between Burnley FC at the top and Wigan Athletic FC at the bottom is 45 points. The BBC is not responsible for any changes that may be made. But their results have slipped at times. We're 15 points behind where we should be mainly because we've conceded 12 goals now than we should have done. Do you have a blog? When we were sitting in top six at this time last year we were somewhere near 17th in xG lmao, One better than this season by the looks of it lol. I sadly monitor goal attempts for and against and we seem to have had a lot more goal attempts for than against this season. We are top of the xG table. xG = Expected Goals to be scored. link to What Does a Director of Football Do? Lost 0 - 4 against Burnley on February 25th 2023. Use the data to help make informed trading decisions. Anyone know if we are still near the top of the league based on expected goals? Cameron Archer has added another layer of sharpness to that attack of in-form players so I would say there is a good chance of those chances ending up in the net. Hull City are targeting a third consecutive win-to-nil at home this weekend. xG is an incredibly important tool and having recently entered the footballing zeitgeist, the quality of data is likely to improve over the next few seasons. No that high according to this. Yes, it has its uses although it isn't the magic riddle that solves football. But over that same sample size the Sky Blues are in the top half for xG created and bottom half for xG against, so there are chances on either side of Coventry games in general. Lost 0 - 1 against Blackburn Rovers on February 18th 2023. | By The Numbers (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zSaeaFcm1SY), Make 40 TODAY With Outplayed's Free Trial. Could Hull City be one of the genuine outside contenders? xGA = Expected Goals to be conceded. If used effectively, this statistical analysis can be used to make quality and accurate predictions about forthcoming fixtures. The tables portray which sides are overperforming and underperforming in front of goal, as well as who is in need of some luck defensively. Anyone who happened to glance at the seasonal xGA data would have assumed that JFHs men were defensively vulnerable, however, with the exception of their final day defeat to Oxford, they proved to be incredibly tough to break down during the second half of the season. You dont think we have changed radically ?? Drew 0 - 0 against Blackpool on March 4th 2023. Expected Goals (xG) league tables for major leagues including England, Spain, France, Germany, Italy, Brazil, Argentina, USA and many more. Managerial changes may also have a significant effect on xG numbers with a newly appointed coach often keen to tighten things up at the back. Each of the 5 segments spans one-fifth (20%) of the total points held by the team ranked 1st in the league. Which is not to say we don't need to take more shots. WebOfficial Championship Website Championship Table (England) - 2022/23 Regular Season Promotion Promotion Play-off Relegation Championship Table Analysis The point gap between Burnley FC at the top and Wigan Athletic FC at the bottom is 45 points. Won 1 - 0 against Swansea City on March 4th 2023. We're ridiculously over-reliant on Solanke and Billing for goals so far. Previous Season. 40. Cardiff City FC disproving xG one game at a time. Recent blog entries CONMEBOL Libertadores Betting Tips: Quarter Finals 2nd Leg | Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday The majority of football fans will have become increasingly aware of the term xG over the last couple of seasons, with a number of mainstreambroadcasters includingthe BBC and Sky opting touseit as part of theirpost-match discussions. Won 3 - 0 against Queens Park Rangers on February 14th 2023. They have netted in eight of their last ten home matches, including bagging 3 and 4 in that time, they have also conceded 3 and 4 in separate matches as well, with 7 of the 10 going over the 2.5 goal line. The bet recommended for this match though is simply to get against goals, so Rovers tight, deep style should work in our favour for this match. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. REPORT: Which Premier League Clubs Are in Debt? *Caveats: Footballxg are not accountable for any errors in the data. WebxG League Tables Expected Goals (xG) tables *: covering 50 leagues. 76. Where final xG data is not available, a provisional xG value is used. Lost 0 - 1 against Burnley on February 18th 2023. Drew 0 - 0 against Preston North End on February 18th 2023. Lost 1 - 2 against Coventry City on February 25th 2023. Whilst themselves and Preston North End are separated by just goals scored in the current Championship table, the Tigers feel the side with the stronger momentum and the potential to stay in the play-off hunt right up until the very end of the campaign. Sheff Utd. Make 40 TODAY With Outplayed's Free Trial, Your email address will not be published. Shows how Coventry 100% deserve to be where they currently are at. footballxg.com. 3. WebSquad Standard Stats 2022-2023 Championship Table; Playing Time Performance Expected Progression Per 90 Minutes; Squad # Pl Age Poss MP Starts Min 90s Gls Ast G+A G-PK PK PKatt CrdY CrdR xG npxG Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 1:16PM. That happens pretty much every year, doesn't it? Went behind, scored 2 in response. We're 15 points behind where we should be mainly because we've conceded 12 goals now than we should have done. We're on for a 7th consecutive season to get relegated on xG. Lost 1 - 2 against Millwall on February 11th 2023. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Playing 5 centre backs and 8 defensive players total against WBA and just battering it long over Kieffer Moore's head will do that for you. Graham Potters menwere often featured amongst manyPremier League predictionsas a result, and having won three of their opening four fixtures this season, the Seagulls have subsequently been priced up at 10/11 for a top-half finish in the Premier League betting with Betfair this time around. Why play riskier attacking football once you've got the lead? Level: 2nd Tier ( See League Structure) Gender: Male. 76. We present them here for purely educational purposes. It is the second-tier soccer competition in England and is contested by 24 clubs. [DoF Role Explained]. Tables are subject to change. xG vs Actual measures the team's actual goals scored against the expected goals scored. 3. WebxG (Expected Goals) - Championship xG Per 90, including xG Difference This table describes the xG per match of each team in the Championship. Perhaps teams with clinical finishing who dont often have their backs to the wall might be a bit misrepresented by xG? Scott Wharton will miss the game due to injury, but Dominic Hyam is back, so that shouldnt make a difference. WebIronically, the two games we've drawn 0-0 have both been clear wins on xG, which suggests we can create more chances when we need to. Expected goals (xG) calculates how many goals a team should have scored based on the quality of the chances created. A team who are giving up good quality chances may suddenly become watertightfollowing the hiring of a defensively-savvy organiser. Won 2 - 1 against Birmingham City on February 18th 2023. Championship xG (Expected Goals) - England | FootyStats, xG League Tables - compares xG points versus actual points. UEFA Champions League Table & Standings | Goal.com Live Scores We're ridiculously over-reliant on Solanke and Billing for goals so far. Won 1 - 0 against Reading on February 17th 2023. EPL La liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1 RFPL 2022/2023 2021/2022 2020/2021 2019/2020 2018/2019 However, under the former Chelsea striker, they significantly tightened up at the back and conceded just seven times between mid-January and mid-March. Preston North End find themselves at the top and bottom, Get the best PNE updates sent directly to your inbox. Excel versions of the league tables are available to xG Core and Pro members. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. There is certainly a quality and depth problem as well, some players are having to play every minute and that will take its toll physically, mentally, and emotionally. The season usually runs from August to May, with each club playing each other twice, once at their home stadium and once at that of their opponents, so a total of 46 matches for each team. Blackburn still sit bottom of the Championship xG table and there are no signs that Jon Dahl Tomasson is able to change the way that Rovers play in order to create more chances. FBref Launch Post: What we've done, what we have and what's next. Data is updated twice weekly on Fridays and Tuesdays 4pm GMT. Drew 1 - 1 against Luton Town on February 15th 2023. Governing Country: England eng. Expected Goals data for the England Championship - including xG, xG Against (Conceded), and xG at home and away. Since then we have been steadily expanding our coverage to include domestic leagues from over 40 countries as well as domestic cup, super cup and youth leagues from top European countries. I'm pretty sure there a standard algorithm provided by Opta. Defensively we've been cut open very few times, but we keep making bad mistakes that are costing us goals. Difference between Burnley FC at 1st and Sheffield United FC at 2nd is 12 points. With Whiteman suspended, Lowe could turn to the 3-4-3 that he played against Bristol City, which used a central pair of Ryan Ledson and Ali McCann. It is the latest in a long line of decisions by the owners that have served to disenfranchise the fans, but now that discontent is spreading to the manager as well, with Russell Martin giving press conferences in a manner in which we have rarely seen from him. Expected goals have lower standard deviations to shots. Please also check out the advanced prediction models to help identify value trades. Use of this data for any decision making is at your own risk. Difference between Burnley FC at 1st and Sheffield United FC at 2nd is 12 points. We're ridiculously over-reliant on Solanke and Billing for goals so far. Lost 1 - 3 against Reading on February 25th 2023. Won 4 - 0 against Huddersfield Town on February 25th 2023. Expected Goals data for the England Championship - including xG, xG Against (Conceded), and xG at home and away. Mick Mccarthyin? To do this click on the cookie settings button below. It is the second-tier soccer competition in England and is contested by 24 clubs. Drew 1 - 1 against Wigan Athletic on February 15th 2023. Please Gamble Responsibly, Fouls Watch: Liverpool v Manchester United Bet Builder Tips & Predictions, Mondays League Scout Football Best Bets & Predictions, Saturdays Horse Racing Best Bets & Predictions. The 23-year-old Brighton and Hove Albion loanee missed midweek with injury however, Benjamin Tetteh partnering Estupin on that occasion at Norwich City. Click on the link to see upcoming game predictions in the xG Free Spreadsheet. 11th overall. footystats.org Reactions:newusernameand r00fie1 N Nano Well-known Web2. Lost 0 - 1 against Cardiff City on February 17th 2023. Drew 1 - 1 against Watford on February 14th 2023. Level: 2nd Tier ( See League Structure) Gender: Male. XG itself isn't 'total bolox'. Another stat that sounds just noise to me. Alan Browne and Robbie Brady are often worth making as key creative outlets in wing-back roles. Hull City have been beaten just three times across their last 14 league matches, Rosenior showing preference recently for a 4-4-2 which has top scorer scar Estupin partnered by Irishman Aaron Connolly. Please gamble safely. WebThe Segments Table is a visual representation splitting the teams into 5 segments. Yeah that's fair. Stats use advanced xG modelling for the Championship. Lost 1 - 5 against Stoke City on March 4th 2023. WebThe English football league Championship is an English professional league for mens football clubs. Ironically, the two games we've drawn 0-0 have both been clear wins on xG, which suggests we can create more chances when we need to. Yeah like the other guy said, weve been in control of most games this season so havent really had a reason to throw everything at our opposition. Championship xG totals and fairness ratings Bournemouth's 2-1 win over QPR was the fairest of the victories in the Championship this week. WBA's dominance only resulting in a 0-0 draw with Derby was the most unfair result#AFCB #WBA pic.twitter.com/sXktLIWvB4. Fulham West Brom followed by Fulham the best performing xG teams overall, not a massive surprise. Blackburn still sit bottom of the Championship xG table and there are no signs that Jon Dahl Tomasson is able to change the way that Rovers play in order to create more chances. I know many are very sceptical about xg ratings and I must say, after watching all forty six of our games this season, I'm struggling to see how we can be as high as we are in this table. WebxG League Tables Expected Goals (xG) tables *: covering 50 leagues. 40. It may not display this or other websites correctly. WebxG League Tables Expected Goals (xG) tables *: covering 50 leagues. Do you have a sports website? All the xg League Tables and xG statistics are on the site and ready to be used. Football doesnt work like that. WebSquad Standard Stats 2022-2023 Championship Table; Playing Time Performance Expected Progression Per 90 Minutes; Squad # Pl Age Poss MP Starts Min 90s Gls Ast G+A G-PK PK PKatt CrdY CrdR xG npxG 40. Yesterday just proved the point. Lost 0 - 1 against Blackburn Rovers on March 4th 2023. Complete table of Championship standings for the 2022/2023 Season, plus access to tables from past seasons and other Football leagues. Previous Season. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Won 3 - 2 against West Bromwich Albion on February 20th 2023. Nov 27, 2022 Expected Goals for Japan v Costa Rica Japan (0.85) 0 - 1 (0.15) Costa Rica Likelihood of result based on xG scoreline: Japan win: 53% Draw: 30% Costa Rica win: 17% #FIFAWorldCup | #JPNCRC 5 Drew 0 - 0 against Norwich City on February 18th 2023. Each of the 5 segments spans one-fifth (20%) of the total points held by the team ranked 1st in the league. ANALYSIS: What Percentage of Penalties are Scored? Championship Scores & Fixtures Table Top Scorers Championship Table Please note: All times UK. WebxG (Expected Goals) - Championship xG Per 90, including xG Difference This table describes the xG per match of each team in the Championship. WebChampionship scores, results and fixtures on BBC Sport, including live football scores, goals and goal scorers. Please also check out the advanced prediction models to help identify value trades. Rather like those daft statistics in the World Cup like outfield breaks, the xg table showed that we were frail at the back under wilder and we had some good goals scored against us. Lost 0 - 3 against Sunderland on February 14th 2023. Sheff Utd. xG = Expected Goals to be scored. WebChampionship 2021/2022 stats including top scorers, assists, player ratings, and more. Championship xG (Expected Goals) - England | FootyStats Expected Goals data for the England Championship - including xG, xG Against (Conceded), and xG at home and away. check out the. Although there is still a degree of scepticism surrounding this metric, it has started to play a major role in football betting with many online bookmakers using these numbers to help form their pre-match odds. Middlesbrough have won their last five home matches and have won the xG battle in all of their last 10 at home. Lost 0 - 1 against Bristol City on February 25th 2023. Won 2 - 0 against Cardiff City on February 25th 2023. Grab an account through the offer below and place 20 on the 8/1 Championship Best Bets Accumulator. Web2022-2023 Championship Goalkeeper Stats. Won 3-0 against Preston North End Drew 1-1 with Watford Won 1-0 against Luton Drew 1-1 with Millwall Won 4-0 against Huddersfield. 4. Review the The only way to consistently profit from football is to find value in the odds. Please also check out the advanced prediction models to help identify value trades. During the 2020-21 campaign, Brighton repeatedly over-performed and, despite finishing 16th in the Premier League table, their xG numbers suggested that they were easily capable of a top half finish. Drew 1 - 1 against Rotherham United on February 27th 2023. I see people thinking that 55% possession means the team deserved to win, which is a much worse way to interpret a statistic. Tables updated twice weekly (Tuesday and Friday c.4pm GMT). They are playing a risky game though, far too often have Blackburn been second best in their matches, only to produce a moment of magic or exploit a mistake to pick up points. Expected Goals (xG) league tables for major leagues including England, Spain, France, Germany, Italy, Brazil, Argentina, USA and many more. Drew 0 - 0 against Preston North End on February 28th 2023. Please gamble safely. Michael Carricks Boro are on an absolute tear through the Championship at the moment and it just so happens that this match co-incides with a team who are at a very low ebb in terms of confidence and are toying over a potential second change of manager in a matter of months. Expected Goals (xG) tables*: covering 50+ leagues. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Read the full review here, Drew 0 - 0 against Preston North End on March 4th 2023. Turn a photo into a hand-illustrated digital portrait in your team's colours! Each of the 5 segments spans one-fifth (20%) of the total points held by the team ranked 1st in the league. Expected Goals (xG) tables*: covering 50 leagues. JavaScript is disabled. Does highlight the fact that we're going to struggle for the automatics unless we get some fluency in attack, we've not been convincing at all this season but bar the Stoke game I can't think of when we were under much pressure defensively and with some more clinical attackers we could be more comfortable at this stage. This includes the entire history of the FIFA Women's World Cup as well as recent domestic league seasons from nine countries, including advanced stats like xG for most of those nine. Where final xG data is not available, a provisional xG value is used and is indicated with a P next to the match result. Won 1 - 0 against Norwich City on February 11th 2023. You must be 18 years old or over. Drew 1 - 1 against Blackburn Rovers on February 11th 2023. The lack of activity from Swans in the transfer window, and indeed the weakening of the squad, is clearly driving a wedge between supporters and owners at Swansea. Won 4 - 0 against Huddersfield Town on March 4th 2023. He may be tempted to do so this weekend because of the recent schedule, but Dan Barlaser, Paddy McNair, Isaiah Jones, Rodrigo Muniz etc. We've done well to so far touch wood not be as doomed as we looked a month or two ago. Burnley's Connor Roberts competes with Preston North End's Daniel Johnson. In addition to this, it would be fair to say that the Millers seriously upgraded their attacking options in January. Tables are subject to change. xG gives us a valuable insight into team performances and allows those who make predictions to semi-accurately forecast future outcomes. Home and away statistics for every team across the 50 leagues. >99% of games have xG data. Drew 1 - 1 against Swansea City on February 27th 2023. We should be able to win 1-0 a lot more than we actually have. Data is updated twice weekly on Friday and Tuesday c.4pm GMT (see End date filter in dashboard for date of the last update). Tables are subject to change. Drew 2 - 2 against Luton Town on February 28th 2023. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Having not drawn a match for a record 28 consecutive games, Rovers have become draw specialists. Won 1 - 0 against Watford on February 25th 2023. WebThe current and complete UEFA Champions League table & standings for the 2022/2023 season, updated instantly after every game. Tables are subject to change. Lost 1 - 2 against Huddersfield Town on February 18th 2023. Victory here at the MKM Stadium will go a long way towards helping them in that push. [DoF Role Explained], link to Manchester United Longest Trophy Drought in Club History [Top 3]. It makes for interesting reading from a Preston North End, Burnley and Blackburn Rovers perspective, while our other Lancashire club in Blackpool find themselves pretty much middle of the road in both categories. T&Cs apply. Won 1 - 0 against Stoke City on February 25th 2023. Lost 0 - 2 against Birmingham City on February 10th 2023. Drew 1 - 1 against Sunderland on February 18th 2023. Drew 0 - 0 against Stoke City on February 11th 2023. Data is updated twice weekly on Fridays and Tuesdays 4pm GMT. Lost 1 - 3 against Middlesbrough on February 15th 2023. In which case why isn't it called the cow's **** and banjo table? Championship xg table. Something went wrong, please try again later. Taking the post- World Cup break as the sample they are the team that has conceded the highest xG in the league as a whole. Across an entire season, xG does tend to level out, and the majority of Premier League sides during the 2020-21 campaign, with the notable exception of Brighton, finished in roughly the correct position according to Infogolsstatistical model. When you place a 10 football bet on Sportsbook, New Customer offer. Cardiff the underperforming team that stands out the most. As of March 18th 2021, their seasonal xGA was 1.48, however, it was down to just 1.02 across their previous four games and continued on its downward trend throughout the remainder of the campaign. Governing Country: England eng. Won 5 - 1 against Sunderland on March 4th 2023. Place a min 10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get 30 in Free Bets. Lost 0 - 1 against Wigan Athletic on February 11th 2023. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Yeah that's fair. footballxg.com. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Pick your teams Home and away statistics for every team across the 50 leagues. Won 1 - 0 against Hull City on February 25th 2023. Web2. Expected Goals (xG) league tables for major leagues including England, Spain, France, Germany, Italy, Brazil, Argentina, USA and many more. Yep, it's easy to bash Wilder and god knows a lot of it is deserved, but we weren't that bad early on in the season and we certainly weren't getting the rub of the green. does expected goals reduce if they are converted into actual goal scored or is it just the probability of scoring from a position? Drew 1 - 1 against Blackburn Rovers on February 15th 2023.